Minsk aren't all that dangerous, more professional about it, but they drew at Valletta away, which is a pretty poor result, and I'd place yous as favourites. Most important is to stay within them after the away first leg, a 0-0, 1-1, perhaps even a 2-1 loss should be enough to turn it round at you're fortress. Win here and your 2 games away from playing European football in mid-December!